Nike · 869459-001
Our 30-day forecast for the Nike Kobe 11 Elite Low Black Mamba Collection Fade to Black (2016) is $520, -5.3% from today's $549 ask. Treat the range below as the answer rather than the direction — our up/down calls at this horizon are right about half the time.
Forecast last updated October 4, 2026. See full briefing →
30 days
Expected to hold near
$520
-5.3% vs today
Likely range: $418–$633
High confidence
90 days
Expected to hold near
$511
-6.9% vs today
Likely range: $409–$634
High confidence
6 months (early estimate)
Expected to hold near
$511
-6.9% vs today
Likely range: $366–$685
Not yet checked against the market — first results December 2, 2026
1 year (early estimate)
Expected to hold near
$511
-6.9% vs today
Likely range: $305–$759
Not yet checked against the market — first results June 5, 2027
SneakerPing predictions blend an XGBoost ensemble model trained on 365 days of pricing history with a 10-factor heuristic (liquidity, hype score, retail premium, volatility, brand momentum). Each shoe is rescored about once a week. The 7-day and 30-day forecasts have been checked against the actual market on tens of thousands of past target dates; the 90-day, 6-month and 1-year horizons are extrapolations that have not produced a graded result yet, because the first ones do not come due until September 2026, December 2026 and June 2027 respectively. Published accuracy stats cover the checked horizons, on our accuracy page. Confidence scores below 60% indicate sparse historical data; treat those forecasts as directional rather than precise.