Nike · FQ1457-600
Our 30-day forecast for the Nike Mercurial Vapor 16 Elite FG Scary Good Pack is $128, +28.0% from today's $100 ask. Treat the range below as the answer rather than the direction — our up/down calls at this horizon are right about half the time.
Forecast last updated August 21, 2026. See full briefing →
7 days
$125
+25.0% vs today
Likely range: $99–$167
High confidence
30 days
$128
+28.0% vs today
Likely range: $100–$173
Medium confidence
90 days
$129
+29.0% vs today
Likely range: $63–$195
Not yet checked against the market — first results September 3, 2026
6 months
$143
+43.0% vs today
Likely range: $50–$236
Not yet checked against the market — first results December 2, 2026
1 year
$163
+63.0% vs today
Likely range: $47–$296
Not yet checked against the market — first results June 5, 2027
SneakerPing predictions blend an XGBoost ensemble model trained on 365 days of pricing history with a 10-factor heuristic (liquidity, hype score, retail premium, volatility, brand momentum). Each shoe is rescored about once a week. The 7-day and 30-day forecasts have been checked against the actual market on tens of thousands of past target dates; the 90-day, 6-month and 1-year horizons are extrapolations that have not produced a graded result yet, because the first ones do not come due until September 2026, December 2026 and June 2027 respectively. Published accuracy stats cover the checked horizons, on our accuracy page. Confidence scores below 60% indicate sparse historical data; treat those forecasts as directional rather than precise.